A Good Democrat, a Fax Machine, and a Conscientious Vote
Steven Okun might be the smartest Democrat I’ve met. He worked on Bill Clinton’s successful campaign and moved to Singapore before the country known as a “little red dot” became fashionable. He doesn’t rely on polls because his data shows recent presidential victories relied on fewer than 100,000 votes in swing states, meaning 0.0006% of votes were the difference. Best of all, he’s charismatic. What Okun doesn’t do is explain how we ended up here, with the finest of cloths covering our national decline. First, let’s summarize his presentation at Singapore’s RSIS. SUMMARY An election is ultimately about the nation’s mood, and Americans have never been this unhappy. Since 1980, when less than 30% of Americans are dissatisfied about the country’s direction, the incumbent always loses. [Note: Is VP Kamala Harris considered an incumbent?] Biden’s 2024 re-election team had questionable skill. Even the campaign slogan was terrible: “Finish the Job.” [Update: Okun says “Finish the Job” was
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